Virginia · pilot edition · v0.7
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2026-06-23

Dominion's 2024 IRP says the quiet part: data-center load is the plan

For the first time, the utility's own filing treats data-center demand growth as a base-case planning assumption, not a scenario.

Dominion Energy Virginia filed its 2024 Integrated Resource Plan with the State Corporation Commission, and the load forecast inside it is now the most consequential planning document for capacity in the Commonwealth (Dominion IRP — SCC docket search, Dominion Energy IRP page).

The headline shift is structural. Earlier IRPs scoped data-center demand as one of several scenarios, sometimes a high one. The 2024 filing folds data-center growth into base-case peak demand, with a distinct elevated trajectory layered on top — a forecast shape that the SCC, PJM, and every county board is now obliged to plan around.

What this constrains

If the forecast holds, every generation, transmission, and demand-side decision over the next decade has to clear a higher bar. If it doesn't hold, stranded-asset risk for ratepayers grows. There is no comfortable interpretation.

What to watch

  • The SCC's response and any stipulated conditions on the IRP.
  • New CPCN (Certificate of Public Convenience and Necessity) filings for generation and transmission in 2026.
  • Whether the General Assembly revisits the Virginia Clean Economy Act compliance schedule in light of the forecast.