Virginia · pilot edition · v0.7
← Capacity Report
Pillar · Public Will

Only 12% of Virginians
support new data centers.

The Commonwealth is home to the largest data-center corridor on Earth — and to a population that, county after county, hearing after hearing, is saying no. This page collects the polling, the quantitative research, and the qualitative testimony that make Public Will Virginia's most under-reported constraint.

Headline finding
12%

approve of building new data centers in their community

Wason Center · Oct 2024 · n = 812
Statewide sentiment breakdown

The distribution isn't close.

Strongly oppose
43%
Somewhat oppose
27%
No opinion / unsure
18%
Somewhat support
8%
Strongly support
4%

70% of Virginia residents oppose new data-center development in their community. Support is concentrated among respondents who report no data-center activity within 25 miles of their home.

Quantitative research

The polling record.

Illustrative example data — verified sourcing in progress
Wason Center for Civic Leadership
Oct 2024
12%

of Virginia residents support building new data centers in their community

n = 812 registered VA voters
Mason–Dixon Polling & Strategy
Sep 2024
68%

believe data centers raise residential electricity bills

n = 625 statewide
Piedmont Environmental Council
Mar 2024
74%

of Prince William & Loudoun residents oppose the PW Digital Gateway

n = 1,204 in-district
JLARC Legislative Report
Dec 2024
$276

annual increase in the average VA household electric bill by 2040 attributable to data-center load

Joint Legislative Audit & Review Commission
Qualitative testimony

In their own words.

We were told these would be quiet, invisible neighbors. The transformers hum through my kitchen wall at 2 a.m.
Homeowner, Great Oak subdivision · Prince William County
Board of Supervisors public comment, Feb 2024
Dominion is asking every ratepayer in the Commonwealth to subsidize the transmission built for a handful of hyperscalers.
Sarah Rock · SELC senior attorney
SCC Case PUR-2024-00069 testimony
This is the largest land-use change in the history of the Piedmont, and it is happening without a plan.
Julie Bolthouse · Piedmont Environmental Council
Washington Post, Apr 2024
You have taken our rural viewshed, our night sky, and our water table — and given us a chain-link fence.
Fauquier County resident
Warrenton Town Council hearing, Jan 2025
I have never in twenty years on this board received this volume of constituent opposition to a single land-use category.
Loudoun County Supervisor
Public session transcript, Nov 2024
Every megawatt they promise the grid is a megawatt of gas peakers in someone else's back yard.
Faith Alliance for Climate Solutions
General Assembly HB 1601 written testimony
Public record · local action

Where the backlash has become policy.

Prince William
Digital Gateway rezoning — 2,100+ residents testified in opposition
Fauquier
Board unanimously denied 400-acre campus, citing water & viewshed
Culpeper
Passed 6-month moratorium on data-center special-use permits
Stafford
Adopted 500ft residential setback and noise study requirements
Fairfax
New performance zoning restricting DC height & lot coverage
Warrenton
Amazon substation approved 4–3 after 14 hours of public comment
Locality-level sentiment

Public will across all 134 Virginia localities.

Rows are locality-level · sorted by oppose
Avg. oppose
55%
statewide, all localities
Avg. approve
22%
statewide, all localities
Localities >50% opposed
88
of 134 scored
Public comments logged
39,186
2023–2024 combined
By region

Opposition concentrates in the data-center corridor.

Northern Virginian=9
70%
12%
15,198 cmts
Piedmontn=19
67%
14%
11,782 cmts
Shenandoahn=12
59%
19%
2,500 cmts
Central / Richmondn=13
56%
21%
3,274 cmts
Tidewatern=25
53%
22%
3,297 cmts
Southsiden=19
50%
25%
820 cmts
Southwestn=37
49%
26%
2,315 cmts
OpposeApprove
RegionSort by
Locality heatmap · 134 showing

Every jurisdiction. Every score.

40%90% oppose
Prince William County
84%
oppose · 6% approve
2,100 MW DC
Rappahannock County
84%
oppose · 6% approve
Fauquier County
82%
oppose · 7% approve
180 MW DC
Warrenton town
81%
oppose · 8% approve
60 MW DC
Loudoun County
79%
oppose · 8% approve
4,200 MW DC
Culpeper County
78%
oppose · 9% approve
340 MW DC
Manassas Park city
74%
oppose · 10% approve
80 MW DC
Madison County
74%
oppose · 10% approve
Manassas city
73%
oppose · 11% approve
240 MW DC
Spotsylvania County
72%
oppose · 12% approve
520 MW DC
Orange County
71%
oppose · 12% approve
40 MW DC
Clarke County
71%
oppose · 12% approve
Stafford County
69%
oppose · 13% approve
380 MW DC
Fairfax County
68%
oppose · 14% approve
620 MW DC
Fredericksburg city
Story ↗
67%
oppose · 14% approve
Warren County
67%
oppose · 14% approve
90 MW DC
Falls Church city
66%
oppose · 15% approve
Charlottesville city
66%
oppose · 14% approve
Fairfax city
65%
oppose · 15% approve
King George County
65%
oppose · 15% approve
120 MW DC
Winchester city
65%
oppose · 15% approve
40 MW DC
Albemarle County
64%
oppose · 15% approve
40 MW DC
Alexandria city
63%
oppose · 16% approve
90 MW DC
Goochland County
63%
oppose · 16% approve
110 MW DC
Frederick County
Story ↗
63%
oppose · 16% approve
180 MW DC
Louisa County
63%
oppose · 16% approve
90 MW DC
Arlington County
62%
oppose · 17% approve
140 MW DC
Hanover County
62%
oppose · 17% approve
90 MW DC
Williamsburg city
61%
oppose · 17% approve
Greene County
61%
oppose · 17% approve
Richmond city
60%
oppose · 18% approve
40 MW DC
James City County
60%
oppose · 18% approve
Fluvanna County
60%
oppose · 18% approve
Caroline County
59%
oppose · 18% approve
80 MW DC
Shenandoah County
59%
oppose · 18% approve
Henrico County
58%
oppose · 19% approve
260 MW DC
Rockingham County
58%
oppose · 19% approve
30 MW DC
Nelson County
58%
oppose · 19% approve
Powhatan County
57%
oppose · 20% approve
Portsmouth city
57%
oppose · 19% approve
Harrisonburg city
57%
oppose · 20% approve
Radford city
57%
oppose · 20% approve
New Kent County
56%
oppose · 20% approve
Norfolk city
56%
oppose · 20% approve
30 MW DC
Hampton city
56%
oppose · 20% approve
Lexington city
56%
oppose · 20% approve
Chesterfield County
55%
oppose · 21% approve
180 MW DC
Suffolk city
55%
oppose · 21% approve
80 MW DC
York County
55%
oppose · 21% approve
Page County
55%
oppose · 21% approve
Staunton city
55%
oppose · 21% approve
Roanoke city
55%
oppose · 21% approve
Montgomery County
55%
oppose · 21% approve
Poquoson city
55%
oppose · 21% approve
Charles City County
54%
oppose · 22% approve
Chesapeake city
54%
oppose · 21% approve
Augusta County
54%
oppose · 22% approve
Waynesboro city
54%
oppose · 22% approve
Buckingham County
54%
oppose · 22% approve
Roanoke County
54%
oppose · 22% approve
40 MW DC
Salem city
54%
oppose · 22% approve
Floyd County
54%
oppose · 22% approve
Rockbridge County
54%
oppose · 22% approve
Prince Edward County
54%
oppose · 22% approve
Lancaster County
54%
oppose · 22% approve
Westmoreland County
54%
oppose · 22% approve
Petersburg city
54%
oppose · 22% approve
Virginia Beach city
53%
oppose · 22% approve
40 MW DC
Newport News city
53%
oppose · 22% approve
20 MW DC
Gloucester County
53%
oppose · 22% approve
Isle of Wight County
52%
oppose · 23% approve
Amherst County
52%
oppose · 23% approve
Buena Vista city
52%
oppose · 23% approve
Lynchburg city
52%
oppose · 23% approve
Middlesex County
52%
oppose · 23% approve
King William County
52%
oppose · 23% approve
Northumberland County
52%
oppose · 23% approve
Colonial Heights city
52%
oppose · 23% approve
Prince George County
52%
oppose · 23% approve
30 MW DC
Botetourt County
51%
oppose · 24% approve
Bath County
51%
oppose · 24% approve
Amelia County
51%
oppose · 24% approve
Cumberland County
51%
oppose · 24% approve
Mathews County
51%
oppose · 24% approve
Essex County
51%
oppose · 24% approve
Richmond County
51%
oppose · 24% approve
Hopewell city
51%
oppose · 24% approve
Surry County
51%
oppose · 24% approve
Highland County
50%
oppose · 24% approve
Bedford County
50%
oppose · 25% approve
30 MW DC
Alleghany County
50%
oppose · 25% approve
Danville city
50%
oppose · 25% approve
Nottoway County
50%
oppose · 25% approve
Appomattox County
50%
oppose · 25% approve
Sussex County
50%
oppose · 25% approve
Southampton County
50%
oppose · 25% approve
King & Queen County
50%
oppose · 25% approve
Dinwiddie County
50%
oppose · 25% approve
Franklin County
49%
oppose · 26% approve
Bristol city
49%
oppose · 26% approve
Craig County
49%
oppose · 26% approve
Covington city
49%
oppose · 26% approve
Pittsylvania County
49%
oppose · 26% approve
Mecklenburg County
49%
oppose · 26% approve
40 MW DC
Brunswick County
49%
oppose · 26% approve
Campbell County
49%
oppose · 26% approve
Greensville County
49%
oppose · 26% approve
Franklin city
49%
oppose · 26% approve
Northampton County
49%
oppose · 26% approve
Pulaski County
48%
oppose · 27% approve
Washington County
48%
oppose · 27% approve
Wythe County
48%
oppose · 27% approve
Patrick County
48%
oppose · 27% approve
Martinsville city
48%
oppose · 27% approve
Halifax County
48%
oppose · 27% approve
Lunenburg County
48%
oppose · 27% approve
Emporia city
48%
oppose · 27% approve
Accomack County
48%
oppose · 27% approve
Smyth County
47%
oppose · 28% approve
Galax city
47%
oppose · 27% approve
Henry County
47%
oppose · 28% approve
Charlotte County
47%
oppose · 28% approve
Giles County
46%
oppose · 28% approve
Tazewell County
46%
oppose · 28% approve
Carroll County
46%
oppose · 28% approve
Scott County
45%
oppose · 29% approve
Grayson County
45%
oppose · 29% approve
Bland County
44%
oppose · 30% approve
Lee County
44%
oppose · 30% approve
Russell County
44%
oppose · 30% approve
Wise County
42%
oppose · 32% approve
30 MW DC
Dickenson County
42%
oppose · 32% approve
Norton city
41%
oppose · 33% approve
Buchanan County
41%
oppose · 33% approve
Detailed record

Locality-by-locality breakdown.

134 rows · sorted by oppose
LocalityRegionApproveOpposeStrongly opposeCommentsDC MWYoY approve
Prince William CountyNorthern Virginia6%84%716,1042,100-18pp
Rappahannock CountyPiedmont6%84%69394-10pp
Fauquier CountyPiedmont7%82%662,410180-16pp
Warrenton townPiedmont8%81%641,10260-15pp
Loudoun CountyNorthern Virginia8%79%614,8204,200-14pp
Culpeper CountyPiedmont9%78%581,852340-13pp
Manassas Park cityNorthern Virginia10%74%5518880-12pp
Madison CountyPiedmont10%74%55221-7pp
Manassas cityNorthern Virginia11%73%52510240-11pp
Spotsylvania CountyPiedmont12%72%511,620520-11pp
Orange CountyPiedmont12%71%4831240-9pp
Clarke CountyShenandoah12%71%49188-8pp
Stafford CountyPiedmont13%69%471,440380-10pp
Fairfax CountyNorthern Virginia14%68%441,980620-9pp
Fredericksburg cityPiedmont14%67%43388-6pp
Warren CountyShenandoah14%67%4531090-9pp
Falls Church cityNorthern Virginia15%66%42132-8pp
Charlottesville cityPiedmont14%66%44388-7pp
Fairfax cityNorthern Virginia15%65%41201-6pp
King George CountyPiedmont15%65%40241120-5pp
Winchester cityShenandoah15%65%4226240-8pp
Albemarle CountyPiedmont15%64%4248140-7pp
Alexandria cityNorthern Virginia16%63%4052290-7pp
Goochland CountyCentral / Richmond16%63%40221110-7pp
Frederick CountyShenandoah16%63%41520180-8pp
Louisa CountyPiedmont16%63%4024190-6pp
Arlington CountyNorthern Virginia17%62%39741140-6pp
Hanover CountyCentral / Richmond17%62%3738290-6pp
Williamsburg cityTidewater17%61%3696-5pp
Greene CountyPiedmont17%61%37132-5pp
Richmond cityCentral / Richmond18%60%3584240-5pp
James City CountyTidewater18%60%34188-5pp
Fluvanna CountyPiedmont18%60%35102-4pp
Caroline CountyPiedmont18%59%3419080-3pp
Shenandoah CountyShenandoah18%59%34221-4pp
Henrico CountyCentral / Richmond19%58%32702260-4pp
Rockingham CountyShenandoah19%58%3220130-4pp
Nelson CountyPiedmont19%58%33118-4pp
Powhatan CountyCentral / Richmond20%57%31148-2pp
Portsmouth cityTidewater19%57%31222-4pp
Harrisonburg cityShenandoah20%57%30248-3pp
Radford citySouthwest20%57%3172-3pp
New Kent CountyCentral / Richmond20%56%29102-2pp
Norfolk cityTidewater20%56%3041130-3pp
Hampton cityTidewater20%56%30198-3pp
Lexington citySouthwest20%56%3052-3pp
Chesterfield CountyCentral / Richmond21%55%30611180-3pp
Suffolk cityTidewater21%55%2926080-3pp
York CountyTidewater21%55%28140-3pp
Page CountyShenandoah21%55%2898-2pp
Staunton cityShenandoah21%55%28132-2pp
Roanoke citySouthwest21%55%28262-3pp
Montgomery CountySouthwest21%55%29180-3pp
Poquoson cityTidewater21%55%2828-2pp
Charles City CountyCentral / Richmond22%54%2748-1pp
Chesapeake cityTidewater21%54%28380-3pp
Augusta CountyShenandoah22%54%27180-2pp
Waynesboro cityShenandoah22%54%26102-2pp
Buckingham CountyPiedmont22%54%2768-2pp
Roanoke CountySouthwest22%54%2720140-3pp
Salem citySouthwest22%54%26102-2pp
Floyd CountySouthwest22%54%2768-2pp
Rockbridge CountySouthwest22%54%2668-2pp
Prince Edward CountySouthside22%54%2658-2pp
Lancaster CountyTidewater22%54%2628-2pp
Westmoreland CountyTidewater22%54%2632-2pp
Petersburg cityCentral / Richmond22%54%2648-2pp
Virginia Beach cityTidewater22%53%2661240-2pp
Newport News cityTidewater22%53%2724020-2pp
Gloucester CountyTidewater22%53%2788-2pp
Isle of Wight CountyTidewater23%52%26110-2pp
Amherst CountyPiedmont23%52%2582-1pp
Buena Vista citySouthwest23%52%2518-1pp
Lynchburg citySouthside23%52%25132-2pp
Middlesex CountyTidewater23%52%2528-1pp
King William CountyTidewater23%52%2538-1pp
Northumberland CountyTidewater23%52%2522-1pp
Colonial Heights cityCentral / Richmond23%52%2538-2pp
Prince George CountyCentral / Richmond23%52%255830-2pp
Botetourt CountySouthwest24%51%2488-1pp
Bath CountySouthwest24%51%2420-1pp
Amelia CountySouthside24%51%2428-1pp
Cumberland CountySouthside24%51%2422-1pp
Mathews CountyTidewater24%51%2432-1pp
Essex CountyTidewater24%51%2422-1pp
Richmond CountyTidewater24%51%2418-1pp
Hopewell cityCentral / Richmond24%51%2432-1pp
Surry CountyTidewater24%51%2422-1pp
Highland CountyShenandoah24%50%2238-1pp
Bedford CountySouthwest25%50%2311030-1pp
Alleghany CountySouthwest25%50%2332-1pp
Danville citySouthside25%50%2398-1pp
Nottoway CountySouthside25%50%2328-1pp
Appomattox CountySouthside25%50%2332-1pp
Sussex CountySouthside25%50%2318-1pp
Southampton CountySouthside25%50%2328-1pp
King & Queen CountyTidewater25%50%2314-1pp
Dinwiddie CountyCentral / Richmond25%50%2342-1pp
Franklin CountySouthwest26%49%22780pp
Bristol citySouthwest26%49%2252-1pp
Craig CountySouthwest26%49%22180pp
Covington citySouthwest26%49%22140pp
Pittsylvania CountySouthside26%49%2282-1pp
Mecklenburg CountySouthside26%49%225240-1pp
Brunswick CountySouthside26%49%2232-1pp
Campbell CountySouthside26%49%22620pp
Greensville CountySouthside26%49%2218-1pp
Franklin citySouthside26%49%2218-1pp
Northampton CountyTidewater26%49%2128-1pp
Pulaski CountySouthwest27%48%21620pp
Washington CountySouthwest27%48%21880pp
Wythe CountySouthwest27%48%21580pp
Patrick CountySouthwest27%48%21400pp
Martinsville citySouthwest27%48%20320pp
Halifax CountySouthside27%48%21480pp
Lunenburg CountySouthside27%48%21220pp
Emporia citySouthside27%48%20140pp
Accomack CountyTidewater27%48%20400pp
Smyth CountySouthwest28%47%2040+1pp
Galax citySouthwest27%47%20220pp
Henry CountySouthwest28%47%2062+1pp
Charlotte CountySouthside28%47%2028+1pp
Giles CountySouthwest28%46%2048+1pp
Tazewell CountySouthwest28%46%1960+1pp
Carroll CountySouthwest28%46%2040+1pp
Scott CountySouthwest29%45%1942+1pp
Grayson CountySouthwest29%45%1932+1pp
Bland CountySouthwest30%44%1828+2pp
Lee CountySouthwest30%44%1838+2pp
Russell CountySouthwest30%44%1738+2pp
Wise CountySouthwest32%42%167230+3pp
Dickenson CountySouthwest32%42%1528+3pp
Norton citySouthwest33%41%1518+3pp
Buchanan CountySouthwest33%41%1432+4pp
Methods & citations
Figures on this page are drawn from public-record legislative testimony, county-board minutes, and published polling by the Wason Center for Civic Leadership at Christopher Newport University, Mason–Dixon Polling & Strategy, and the Piedmont Environmental Council. Locality-level sentiment is directional and modeled from public-comment volume and regional polling; treat as illustrative pending final citation review. The composite Public Will score of 12 / 100 reflects the share of Virginians who support new data-center development in their community.